Technical Analysis Vs Stocks...is There A Connection?
Author: JesseProfit Total views: 8 Word Count: 586
In making determinations as to what the stock markets worldwide are going to do in terms of how prices move, there are two distinct schools of thought about analysis of companies and their investment prospects. The typical school of thought, and one that has been successful over the last decades has been the school of fundamental analysis.
Fundamental analysis views not only the financial opportunities of a company, but also the likelihood of accomplishing these goals in respect to their competitors. Technical analysis, on the other hand, has been successful in use, but not very structured or scientific. Thus, the question again arises, what is the connection between stocks and technical analysis?
If you can believe it, technical analysis is simply the studying of past market trends to make a determination as to what the future of the stock's price is going to be. But, that still doesn't answer the whole question - what is the whole connection between technical analysis and stocks? More importantly, how can people think they can predict the price of a stock from looking at charts and graphs and not the financial health or condition of a company?
The primary reason that technical analysis is used by some market analysts is because it can be used subjectively. The analysts can downgrade a stock and or anticipate higher earnings. One would think that from a statistical standpoint, a regular trading day would only be swayed by the daily activities and independent of anything else that has previously occurred. The truth is that over time market movements occur and trends develop. The movements made and the events that occur are not really isolated at all to one day, but are usually cumulative over a period of time.
As a result, technical analysis utilizes tons of data including old stock quotes, trading volume charts, and a host of other data, to develop charts and graphs that work to determine exactly how long the impact of a move in a company will persist and impact the stock market trading of a particular issue.
Comparing technical analysis and fundamental analysis of the same stock market shows that in the short term technical analysis is a short term predictor. Just as the technical analyst reputation has become, of being a short term predictor. Conversely, fundamental analysis is a long term tool that helps predict long term trends in markets.
Due to complexity of the language and terminology used technical analysis can be quite off putting to laypeople who may not understand this verbiage. Since graphs and trend lines involve this terminology and it can sometimes be ambiguous. Many different terms can be used to denote the same trend on a graph and this can cause confusion of the typical investor who may want to invest. For example, a shoulder or an elbow can denote the same thing in a trend on a graph. Talking about leveling and drops in regard to market fluctuations can be quite intimidating to a general investor.
Ultimately, many in the investment community are still asking the question \"What basis can we make the connection between technical analysis and stocks?\" in terms of how that type of analysis can be instituted for everyday use. The reality is, technical analysis is imprecise, open to wild interpretation in some cases, and ultimately serves the purposes of the people that use it. However, given the level of success with the tool, it's unarguable that technical analysis can be a legitimate market analysis tool.
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